First Eastern Pacific tropical depression to develop soon

The first two tropical storms of the 2026 Eastern Pacific hurricane season could develop over the next seven days. One of those first storms could pose a threat to parts of Mexico's coast next week.

First system likely not a land threat

The National Hurricane Center expects an area of low pressure will develop into a tropical depression in a day or two about halfway between southern Mexico's Pacific coast and Hawaii, as depicted by the red circled area in the map.

The NHC has designated this "Invest 90E," a naming convention used by the NHC to identify features that could develop.

(MORE: What is an invest?)

It could then strengthen to a tropical storm. The first storm of the 2026 Eastern Pacific hurricane season will be called "Amanda."

Fortunately, this system will be no threat to land. It may move slowly northwest or west-northwest and gain some strength, but it will remain far from land between Hawaii and Mexico before fizzling out sometime next week.

(MORE: E. Pacific hurricane season could get a boost)

Second system more of a concern

By early next week, another tropical storm could form much closer to Mexico's Pacific coast.

Given plentiful deep, warmer-than-average water in the Eastern Pacific, it could not only strengthen to the second tropical storm, but possibly the season's first hurricane. The second Eastern Pacific storm will be called "Boris."

If it develops, there are three possibilities with this system next week:

• Stays far enough offshore to only be a high surf, rip current risk for the southern Mexican coast
  
• Tracks close enough to add a threat of locally heavy bands of rain and wind gusts, but the worst of its impacts remain offshore
  
• Could directly threaten parts of the coast with storm surge, flooding rain and high winds
  

It's too soon to tell which of these scenarios may unfold. Check back with us at weather.com for the latest on each of these systems.

(MORE: Atlantic hurricane season outlook)

Jonathan Erdman is a senior meteorologist at weather.com and has been covering national and international weather since 1996. Extreme and bizarre weather are his favorite topics. Reach out to him on Bluesky, X (formerly Twitter) and Facebook.​