Track future Gulf Hurricane Isaias: spaghetti models, maps
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Isaias will bring rain, wind and storm surge to the Gulf Coast and is forecast to become the season's first hurricane.

Jonathan  Belles
ByJonathan Belles•
1 hour agoUpdated: October 7, 2026, 5:39 pm EDTPublished: October 7, 2026, 2:00 pm EDT

Tropical Storm Isaias is forecast to become a hurricane and will bring heavy rain, storm surge flooding and high winds to the Gulf Coast and local flash flooding well inland in the Southeast this weekend.

That includes southern portions of Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama and the Florida Panhandle.

For the latest forecast with full details on this storm, click here.

Current information

Current satellite

DCT 10


Current radar

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DCT 4


Current winds

DCT 8


Forecast path

Atlantic Storm Info 1


Spaghetti model tracks

DCT 26


Daily forecast

DCT 15
DCT 16
DCT 18


Potential impacts

Impact risk
The map below shows the general risk from Isaias and its inland remnant, including from rainfall flooding, winds and storm surge near the coast. This map will update throughout the duration of the storm.

The impact levels on the map mean:

  • "Aware" (yellow): Some significant impacts could occur. Check frequently for forecast updates ahead.
  • "Prepare" (orange): More widespread, significant storm impacts are increasingly possible. Consider stocking up on supplies, plan for potential power outages and know your evacuation or escape routes if you live in an area prone to storm surge or rainfall flooding.
  • "Alert" (red): Storm impacts will arrive soon or are already occurring. Put your preparedness plan into action. Heed any orders from local officials to evacuate and remain in safe shelter until the storm is over.
DCT 12


Rainfall outlook

DCT 48


Flood potential

Map showing flash flood risk levels across the Gulf Coast and Southeast US for Friday, with likely risk near Mobile and possible risk extending to Atlanta and Montgomery
Map showing flash flood risk across the southeastern US from Saturday to Saturday night, with possible and marginal risk zones spanning cities including Nashville, Atlanta, Charlotte, and Birmingham


Severe weather (and possible tornado threat)

DCT 45


Storm surge

DCT 30


Environment around the storm

Shearing winds aloft

These are areas of strong wind shear, the difference in wind speed and direction with height, which are shown in purple. High wind shear is hostile to mature tropical cyclones and those trying to develop.

DCT 25

Water temperatures

Sea surface temperatures above 80 degrees are generally supportive of tropical development

DCT 24


Season so far

DCT 17


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