Mother's Day Weather Forecast: Wet South, Sunny West | Weather.com
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USA National Forecast

Doesn't your mom deserve the best weather this Sunday? For some that won't be problem. For others, well, focus on treating her to a nice dinner. Here's our forecast.

Jonathan Erdman
ByJonathan Erdman
2 hours agoUpdated: May 8, 2026, 5:44 am EDTPublished: May 8, 2026, 5:44 am EDT

Mother’s Day Weekend Forecast

Mother's Day weather across the country will vary from a threat of soaking rain in parts of the South, to sunshine and perfect temperatures in other areas and one region searing in triple-digit heat.

Let's start out with a rating scale for a few cities across the country Sunday, shown in the map below.

Dark green starred cities should have near perfect weather to spend outside with your mom. Those cities in orange, well, you may just want to focus on your brunch or dinner plans, as the weather may be a bit less than ideal to spend much of the day outside.

Mother's Day forecast

Our rating of the weather on Mother's Day. The better the chance of rain and either chilly or hot temperatures gets a lower rating. The closer you get to "sunny and 75" weather, the higher the rating.

Who Will Be Wet?

A frontal system will be sliding through the Midwest, South and East, with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected ahead of it from parts of the Northeast to the South during the day. Areas in darker green in the map below have the highest chance of these scattered showers and storms.

In most of those areas, this shouldn't be an "all-day rain," so there will be some dry hours here and there.

In much of the western half of the country from the upper Midwest, Northern Plains to the West Coast, we expect Mother's Day to be mainly dry. And, for now, we expect most rain to hold off during the day along most of the Northeast coast, including Boston and New York City.

Temperatures

First, take a look at some of the pleasant high temperatures forecast from the central Plains to the Rockies and Northwest. You can't ask for better than 70s for your mom, right?

There are a few places that may be stubbornly cool. Even if rain stays away, a northeast breeze off the lake and more clouds than sun could keep the western Great Lakes cool.

Meanwhile, highs could flirt with 90 degrees in Miami. But it's the Great Basin and Southwest that will be hotter than usual for the second weekend of May.

Phoenix could top out between 105 and 110 degrees, and daily record highs are possible from California into Nevada and southern Idaho. In these areas, you may want to spend your time outside early in the day, not in the afternoon.

As far as humidity is concerned, it will be somewhat muggy in the Deep South, but not oppressively so. Humidity will be at comfortable levels in most of the rest of the country on Mother's Day.

Jonathan Erdman is a senior meteorologist at weather.com and has been covering national and international weather since 1996. Extreme and bizarre weather are his favorite topics. Reach out to him on Bluesky, X (formerly Twitter) and Facebook.

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