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Tropical Storm Gabrielle Struggles In Central Atlantic | Weather.com
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The Atlantic Basin woke up after an almost three-week slumber. After Gabrielle, we're watching another tropical wave for development. Here's the latest.

ByTiffany Savona, Jonathan Erdman and Rob Shackelford•6 hours ago

NHC Tracking Gabrielle Plus New Wave

Tropical Storm Gabrielle is struggling in the central Atlantic, but still could become a hurricane early next week as the season has finally come to life after a long peak-season slumber.

We're also watching another disturbance about to begin its journey into the Atlantic off Africa.

Here's the latest.

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Gabrielle Struggling

Tropical Storm Gabrielle became the seventh named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season late Wednesday morning after first being designated as a tropical depression earlier in the morning.

It's located between the Lesser Antilles and Africa, about 750 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands.

Gabrielle has been frequently depleted of organized cloud cover over the last day. That's because it's battling with a hostile environment of strong wind shear and dry air, two factors that have limited tropical development in the basin over the past three weeks, despite being in the typical peak of hurricane season.

(MORE: Didn't We Already Have 'Gabrielle'?)

Areas of strong wind shear, the difference in wind speed and direction with height, are shown in purple. High wind shear is hostile to mature tropical cyclones and those trying to develop. The forecast path of Gabrielle is also shown in red.

Current Wind Shear, Forecast Path

What's Next

That hostile environment should keep a lid on Gabrielle's winds over the next few days.

The National Hurricane Center says it could find a better environment for strengthening beginning Sunday, and could then become the second hurricane of the Atlantic season. However, there are also some model forecasts suggesting Gabrielle could continue to struggle as a tropical storm.

Fortunately, it appears Gabrielle will curl well north of the Leeward Islands this weekend. High surf and rip currents will probably be the primary concerns, there, given its track far north.

The red-shaded area denotes the potential path of the center of the tropical cyclone. It's important to note that impacts (particularly heavy rain, high surf, coastal flooding, winds) with any tropical cyclone usually spread beyond its forecast path.

Current Status And Projected Path

Next Week Concerns?

For now, the majority of model tracks suggest Gabrielle's center could pass east of Bermuda, but it's too soon to rule out a significant threat to Bermuda early next week, especially given Gabrielle's unorganized status right now.

Fortunately, Gabrielle is not expected to be a mainland U.S. threat.

Check back with us at weather.com for the latest on Gabrielle.

The lines on this graphic represent several of the many track forecasts from various computer models. This is not an official forecast, but these are used as guidance for creating the projected path.

Spaghetti Model Tracks

Next System Coming Off Africa

The National Hurricane Center is also keeping an eye on another tropical wave about to move off Africa Friday.

The chance of development of this next tropical wave is low for the next seven days. It may have to face the same hostile conditions that Gabrielle is facing.

(MORE: What Is A Tropical Wave?)

The possible areas of tropical development according to the latest National Hurricane Center outlook are shown by polygons, color-coded by the chance of development over the next seven days. An "X" indicates the location of a current disturbance. The forecast cone of an active tropical system is also shown.

NHC Development Chance

Gabrielle was the first active Atlantic tropical storm in 20 days, since Fernand was designated a post-tropical cyclone on August 28.

Even though we are past the statistical peak of hurricane season, it does not mean we can let our guard down yet. We still typically see the highest amount of tropical activity from mid-September through mid-October. Now is the time to make sure you have all of your supplies in order.

Tiffany Savona is a digital meteorologist for weather.com. She has 15+ years of experience tracking storms as a broadcast meteorologist across the country.